European Union flags (L) and China stand side by side in the consultant on June 20, 2023 in Berlin, Germany.
Sean Gallup Getty Images News | Gety pictures
Analysts say that China and the European Union are unlikely to become rapidly close allies Definitions Sipping relations between the largest economy in the world and its across Atlantic and Beijing allies.
“I do not see the European Union and China united against the United States,” said Max Bergman, director of the European, Russia and Eurasian program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS).
He explained that at the geopolitical level, the two powers may be open for further participation, but economic clashes and current issues related to trade and competition are a big obstacle.
“The economic alignment capabilities of the European Union and China are limited because both of them are economies that depend on export and therefore they are fierce competitors, especially in the car and clean technology sectors,” Bergman noted.
“I think there will be interest from both sides, but the deep practical restrictions of both. Unless China is ready to offer some great privileges, I am facing to see the European Union uniting behind the deeper participation strategy.”
Chinese European Union tensions
The European Union and China have intermittent relationship. While China is one of the largest trading partners in the European Union alongside the United States, the economic relations between the two are historically characterized by investigations and measures that reach the trade -related.
The European Union has long claimed that Beijing supports the main sectors such as electric cars, batteries, steel and aluminum in a harmful way to global markets and competitiveness. Last year, the European Union struck China with definitions of electric cars, as a result.
In what was considered retaliatory moves, Beijing then launched anti -communication investigations into the European Union exports of pork and Brande, as well as an anti -bayda anti -dairy products in the European Union.
Carrestin Nickel, Managing Director of TENEO, told CNBC that the trade is not only that causes tensions in the relationship between the European Chinese Union.
He added that there are “basic differences” between the two “regardless of what is going on with the United States”
“This relates to questions that have not been resolved about excessive ability in China. It relates to the ongoing concerns in the European Parliament, especially with regard to the human rights situation, and it relates to Chinese support concerns for Russia and Ukraine,” he said.
Ian Bremer, founder and president of the Eurasia Group, also noted that there is a “deep” European lack of confidence towards China in areas such as intellectual property and technological monitoring, as well as industrial policy.
This “does not disappear with the United States becomes a opponent,” he said to CNBC.
Equipment attempts
However, China can try to use the opportunity to reduce relations between the United States-the European Union to try to formulate a closer bond with the European Union, as analysts note.
“China will see an opportunity to dismantle the Atlantic coalition and near Europe,” said Bergman Bergman.
On the other hand, some Europeans may imagine “hedging between the United States and China and may urge China to reduce its support for the Russian defense industry and economically openness.”
China and the European Union seem to have approached recently.
Only on Thursday, it was reported that the two were planning to consider the preparation The minimum Chinese electric cars prices Instead of the European Union tariff. Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez On Friday, he met Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing, and called for a more balanced relationship after that. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi He also visited Europe Earlier this year, calling for close relations and deeper cooperation.
Earlier this week, European Commission President Ursula von der Layin and Chinese Prime Minister Lee Qiang spoke on the phone – although the European Union President “confirmed the decisive role in China in addressing the possible trade conversion caused by definitions” and Beijing urged to work on negotiation solutions to the problems caused by the definitions, Read From the European Commission suggested.
The Nickel in Tenio indicated that the language used about the call from the European side was “softer” than it was in the past.
Change forward?
In the end, Nickel says: “The focus is on managing this very difficult situation for the global economy.”
Nickel said that this does not mean that the basic challenges in the European relationship with China have disappeared overnight.
Nickel suggested that conducting the US tariff may make things more difficult between China and the European Union, as it may exacerbate current issues, such as the excessive ability of Chinese export.
Emre Peker from Euroasia Group and Mujtaba Rahman repeated this idea in the Thursday note.
They said: “The transfers in employment with the escalation of the American-Chinese introductory battle will demand the European Commission to quickly deploy protection measures to prevent China-other countries-from throwing its goods in the European Union market.”
Separately, “Trump’s tariff will force Brussels to tighten its commercial position against Beijing to go beyond the current efforts to counter economic imbalances with China that threatens European industries,” said the Orals of the Eurasia Group.
Meanwhile, European policy makers will use a “softer speech” towards China to avoid launching a two -front war. They concluded that “but it is unlikely to translate this to Brussels Boke’s cooperation against Washington.”
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