
The government of work in Britain will undergo severe scrutiny on Wednesday, as Finance Minister Rachel Reeves is preparing to update legislators on its spending plans, taxes and economic expectations of the nation amid disturbing times for the United Kingdom
Reeves is expected to announce billions of pounds in spending discounts as a means of closing the budget deficit caused by high borrowing costs since its first financial plan, which was issued last fall.
The Minister of Finance has already pledged to adhere to the “financial rules” imposed by the self-stipulated in the “Autumn Budget” last October: to ensure the fulfillment of daily spending through tax revenues and that public debt decreases as a share of economic production by 2029-30.
Minister of Finance in the United Kingdom Spring statementIt is scheduled to be presented in Parliament at 12:30 pm London time, and will be delivered alongside the latest economic expectations from the Budget Responsibility Office (OBR), which is an independent public finance in the country.
Obr is And according to what was expected To reduce UK growth expectations for the year 2025 and a half of its previous estimate by 2 %, with the decrease in the output of the rising pressure on government borrowing requirements and forcing Reeves to reduce public spending by about 10 billion pounds (12.96 billion dollars).
“Changing World”
Since its initial budget was offered last October, Reeves has been increasingly pressure to reduce public spending, and to raise taxes further or to discourage financial rules amid the high borrowing costs in the United Kingdom, which analysts say has eliminated the “Capital Hall” that Reeves had within its initial budget.
The UK also faces a temporary height in the inflation rate, According to England Bankalong with The continued economic slowdown In recent months.
Reeves is expected to hint widely to change in the economic background since its last budget statement, with uncertainty of the commercial tariffs of US President Donald Trump, who is seen as inflationary, which also constitutes a contemporary wind of the economy.
The Treasury issued a press release on Tuesday stating that Reeves will undertake to create “national security and renewal” in its spring statement, which will be designed “to start economic growth, protect working workers and preserve our country safe.”
Reeves will also warn of “we have to move quickly in a changing world”, and it is scheduled to reveal an important step towards spending 2.5 % of GDP on defense with an increase in financing of 2.2 billion pounds ($ 2.6 billion) next year.
British Prime Minister Kiir Starmer will meet with the British advisor for the Rachel Reeves, a few days before the announcement of the first budget of the government of the new Labor Party, in Downing Street on October 28, 2024 in London, England. Starmer and Reeves meet before the budget on Wednesday.
WPA Pool | Getty Images News | Gety pictures
The Reeves statement is expected to be treated by “financial head erosion by controlling the most compromise spending”, Emily Nicole and Edward Maling noticed in Daoa Capital Markets.
At the time of the announcement of the October budget, OBR expected a current budget in the fiscal year 29/30 of about 10 billion pounds, with this amount, which represents the so -called government’s “head room” to face its binding goal of the current balanced budget by that date. Today’s figures indicate that this has been eliminated.
“With the economic growth that was recently lower than OBR forecast – OBR is likely to transfer almost 2.0 % domestic product expectations per year for 2025 – the optimization of general borrowing and the tax revenue agreement may be considered partially due to the periodic weakness that may be in terms of automatically due.”
However, economists have warned that “an increase of about 20-40 basis points in a sectarian yield across most of the curve since mid-October will be considered structurally and this will be done alongside some other slips-in the absence of compensation for new policies-the government hall may erode.”
Discounts spending
The financial treasury room for economists and analysts has widespread on Reeves to announce billions of pounds in costs on Wednesday.
The government has already made plans For 5 billion pounds, spending spending on social welfareIn addition to the intentions of reducing the administrative costs of civil service, which implement government policies, by 15 % by 2030.
“The spring statement will witness an increase in the required borrowing over the next two years due to the highest interest payments. OBR forecasts will require the chancellor to make spending discounts loaded with about 10 pounds Pelon to keep them in the former financial hall,” said Barclays Moyen strategy expert Islam in the economy in America last week.
They added, “These savings are likely to focus on spending on social welfare and the consequences of the public sector, and are late until the second half of Parliament, after 2027.”
Rachel Reeves, UK’s Finance Minister, speaking about the Squawk Fund in CNBC outside the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland on January 22, 2025.
Jerry Miller CNBC
Analysts in the geopolitical political consulting agreed that although the autumn budget last October witnessed £ 40 billion in the increase in targeted taxes to finance public services, it is possible that the following statement of Rvesz “discounts in spending on social welfare”, indicating that “any additional tax rise (even limited) must be monitored.”
“Some relief can also reach employers, following the increase in the controversial national insurance contribution in October. The statement will emphasize the limited financial space while continuing to search for growth and productivity, amid pressure to improve public services and increase defense spending.”
A Treasury spokesman told CNBC on Tuesday that the Treasury “will not comment on speculation about OBR’s expectations.
“The chancellor was also clear that it will not repeat the likes of the October budget and are now focusing on developing the economy and the waste of public spending is rooted by reviewing spending,” the spokesman added.
Reeves has repeatedly commented that she will not give up its financial bases or raise taxes more at the present time, although economists expect more fees to come later this year.
She said that there is widespread terror in the British business community last fall when it raised the tax burden on companies and employers with a goal, in the words of a hole in public financial resources and allowing investment in public services.
British industry leaders warned that Financial Treasury plans It can weigh on investment, jobs and growth.
Reeves defended the high taxes as a “one -time” measure and necessary to enhance investment in public services. She has repeatedly mentioned that strengthening UK’s growth is her first priority and has pledged that she would not reduce the financial rules or goals she imposed on its department.
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