
The recent political unrest in South Korea appears to be short-lived, according to fund manager Arjun Jayaraman, who said there are opportunities for investors in the country.
The portfolio manager at US-based investment firm Causeway Capital Management added that the risks surrounding South Korea’s stock market have now been priced in, following President Yeon Suk-yul’s failed attempt to impose martial law in early December and his decision. Subsequent accountability on Saturday.
“We think Korea is clearly a very cheap market. It’s priced with a lot of negativity,” Jayaraman told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia” last week. “The value is certainly compelling there, so we maintain our overweight position.”
Yoon has strived to boost listed companies – and shareholder returns – through the “Corporate Value Increment” programme, a Japanese-style initiative aimed at improving corporate governance and increasing investor participation.
The reforms were also introduced to combat so-called “Korean discounting,” a reference to South Korean securities trading at lower valuations compared to their regional counterparts, due to investor concerns about issues such as corporate governance at large family-owned conglomerates.
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But any new government in South Korea would likely continue to push these reforms, boosting revenues, Jayaraman said.
“We are encouraged by the fact that even the more left-leaning opposition Democratic Party appears to be supporting Korea’s ‘Higher Value’ initiative, which should lead to a re-rating of the market, in the medium to long term,” he noted.
South Korea’s opposition leaders say Yoon’s martial law order was an act of rebellion — a claim denied by Yoon, who in turn accused political rivals of creating “false incitement” to bring him down.
South Korea’s main opposition Democratic Party leader Lee Jae-myung, lawmakers and people attend a rally to condemn the South Korean president’s sudden declarations of martial law last night and demand his resignation, at the National Assembly in Seoul, South Korea December 4. 2024.
Kim Hong Ji | Reuters
Following Yoon’s imposition of martial law – and then reversing it – late on December 3, South Korea’s stock market index fell about 5.5% before recovering most of the losses.
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One of Causeway Capital Management’s largest active companies is South Korean automaker Kia, which Jayaraman says is relatively insulated from local conflict.
“Kia is more dependent on the United States for export markets, as well as other parts of the West,” he said. “As an issuer, it has more exposure outside of Korea and would clearly benefit if we see continued weakness in the Korean won, especially versus its rivals in Japan.”
The South Korean won fell against the US dollar after Yoon imposed martial law and is currently trading at its lowest level in more than two years against the dollar.
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