Unemployment fears reach the worst levels since it showed Covid scanning,

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People shop for products at Walmart in Rosemead, California, on April 11, 2025.

Friedrich J. Brown AFP | Gety pictures

Consumer concerns have grown on inflation, unemployment and stock market with the rise in the global trade war in March, according to a survey conducted by the Federal Reserve in New York on Monday.

The monthly survey of the Central Bank of Consumer expectations showed that the respondents have seen inflation a year from now by 3.6 %, an increase of half a percentage of February and the highest reading since October 2023.

Along with fears on a High cost of living An increase in concerns about the labor market: the possibility that the unemployment rate is higher per year from now to 44 %, at an altitude of 4.6 degrees Celsius and the highest level dating back to the early days of April 2020.

The survey also showed anxiety about the uncertainty that translates into stock market problems.

Expect that The market will be higher A year later, a low drop to 33.8 %, a decrease of 3.2 percentage points to the lowest reading dating back to June 2022. While stock expectations decreased, the respondents said they are 5.2 %, which is the highest since April 2022.

The survey reflects other readings, such as Consumer morale at Michigan UniversityWhich showed one year expectations in mid -April at its highest levels since November 1981.

In the case of the Federal Reserve in New York, the survey was conducted in front of the president Donald TrumpThe tariff announcement on April 2, “Liberation Day”, as well as 90 days suspension to order After a week. However, it is largely in line with other measures that reflect the consumer anxiety about the tariff of influence, even though the measures based on the market show that inflation concerns are low among traders.

The inflation expectations on the horizon decreased for a period of five years, which already decreased to 2.9 %, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points, and the expectations have not changed for three years by 3 %. Expectations for food prices per year from now reach 5.2 %, the highest level since May 2024, and it was 7.2 % for rent, an increase of half a point. Medical care costs have also jumped to an expected 7.9 % increase, the most since August 2024.

The respondents expect gasoline to rise by 3.2 %, a decrease of 0.5 points from February look.

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