Trump may not be a “crazy man”, but his external policy shows signs of this

The boundaries of the brand of US President Donald Trump were not very common diplomacy more clear than this week, which includes two of the most continuous conflicts in the world.

In Gaza, the Israel Army The ceasefire was destroyed on Tuesday By inflicting the largest number of deaths in one day on the Palestinians since the war began in October 2023.

After Trump’s phone call to Vladimir Putin on Ukraine, he proved any hope that the Russian president would be ready to decline or curb his three -year continuous attack on the country.

The two results say easily, as veteran diplomats say, given that Trump’s focus is almost on recording quick victories at the expense of the most difficult work of amazing diplomacy, which led to permanent gains.

“He imposes unrealistic schedules, and he also imposes terms that will not be adhered to,” said Luiz Playes, a Canadian diplomat for a long time and a former Canadian ambassador to the United Nations.

She told CBC News: “It is a kind of” immediate satisfaction ” – he has no patience to do the work required by diplomacy,” she told CBC News.

In their public statements, Trump’s foreign policy team insisted that it was a week of “victories” for the administration-that Putin’s call will lead to more peace talks between the United States and Russia in Saudi Arabia during the weekend, and that Ukraine President Voludmir Zelinski also agreed to burn energy goals.

Excess

But Blais says Trump’s actions follow a common pattern of excessive discrimination and degradation.

“Do not bring parties like Ukraine, the Russian Union, Hamas, and (Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin) Netanyahu to a common ground overnight. This does not happen.”

However, this seemed exactly what Trump was trying to do with the aggressive bullying and wearing general clothing of Zelinski at the High Oval Office meeting now in February.

Trump married Ukraine leader and pushed him to make concessions before the start of negotiations with Putin.

When the appeal earlier this week faces that his efforts did not result in results, Trump officials resorted to exaggeration.

“Trump is a natural -generated leader,” said Steve Whitchov, who took the initiative in the war in Ukraine.

“I can’t mention how convincing that he was on the call (with Putin),” and he fell to Fox News. “There is no other person like him.”

Trump He said again and again It is believed that Putin wants to end the war he started, although US intelligence agencies along with the leaders of every European country do not agree to the practical.

Publicly, the Kremlin continued to insist on stopping the utmost shooting that would extinguish Ukrainian sovereignty, neutralize his military capabilities and officially transform huge areas of land to Russia, including areas that Putin’s forces could not occupy.

Recently, Trump has become more interested in dealing with Putin more than Netanyahu.

Israeli warplanes also fell rockets on the targets in Gaza this week, The White House had little to say, Otherwise, Trump supports Israel completely and its renewable military actions.

Unlike the time when the original ceasefire was agreed in January, Trump and his extension were not the envoy to the Israeli leader to end the war or insistence. Payment Witkoff Netanyahu to accept.

Blais, the former Canadian ambassador, says that Netanyahu probably foretold that Trump will decline or lose attention to finding a settlement of negotiations to the Gaza issue once the first ceasefire is signed.

“This may be one of the reasons why Trump is very ineffective.” Is that this party in conflicts know that it is not flexible, the power of survival, or focus on maintaining something that is not going well. ”

Other analysts say that the action of a strong Trump man may be useful for breaking stalemate or re -launching stagnant conversations, but gains from such offers from Bravado can be transient.

“Madness theory”

“You see some merit in the so-called” Madman “-the fact that you do not know what he will do and cannot be predicted very much,” said Julie Norman, who is studying international relations at the University of London.

A A recent article in foreign affairs Maman’s theory was defined as a leader, by behaving in a very volatile way, believed to be able to intimidate opponents in making concessions.

on More than one occasion, Trump suggested his opponents afraid of him because they could not predict what he would do after that.

However, the article of foreign affairs emphasizes an inherent contradiction in this approach:

“Reputable leaders are due to the inability to predict – or who encourage perception that they may do almost anything regardless of the consequences – often struggle to provide reliable guarantees.”

Although this leadership style may be common for dictators and powerful, the article rarely works.

The article said: “Former Russian leader Nikita Khrushchev threatened to use nuclear weapons against the West and often seemed to lose his emotions against Western leaders – screaming, referring and turning red in his face – but he was not eventually able to force the United States to decline.”

In his first term as president, Trump tried the same type of personal approach with North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un in an attempt to encourage him to give up his country’s arsenal of nuclear weapons.

After three meetings – including one in the region of North Korea and South Korea – Trump ended the diplomats after Kim proved his unwillingness to sign an agreement to do what Trump wanted.

Norman says that Trump’s style appears to be in particular to solve the two current wars he faced.

Norman told CBC News: “Trying to resolve these very complex, long-term, and very complex conflicts that require accuracy, require a time commitment, attention to details and nuances-and all these things that Trump does not seem to not yet want to bother her.”

It is difficult to predict the following Trump steps.

It seems that the US President is determined to re -establish trade, political and economic relations with Russia, regardless of progress towards ending the war in Ukraine.

In the Middle East, Wittakov and others continue to work as two mediators in an attempt to end the attacks on Gaza, although Trump’s long -term vision to end the conflict has not been clearly expressed.

Earlier, it was suggested that the Palestinians be expelled from Gaza and the region turned into a giant real estate development. Trump has since retracted some of what he said.

Norman, an international relations analyst, says that what appears to be guaranteed, is that when Trump boasts more than what he offers, another person’s mistake will be.

“It is very difficult to be a deals, peacemaker, negotiating, or diplomat when (being bullied) is your international reputation as an individual – and also as a country.”