The shock of the Lobent’s marine referee, French rocks, the far right

“amazing.” That was the only word that was pronounced under her breath by Marine Le Pen storming a courtroom in Paris this morning.

The court left early – before hearing that it was prevented from running for five years after being convicted of embezzling the European Union’s funds – she certainly excluded her from standing in the French presidential elections for the year 2027.

Without waiting for the judge to pronounce the full details of the ruling, the head of the National Assembly knew that its political goat was cooked.

There will be no comfort waiting for the appeal. The tape was to run for real and immediate positions.

The prison sentence will be suspended for a period of four years, two of which will be suspended, waiting for the appeal.

But her political plans have died.

It can be a virgin Loop better, perhaps, in the context of the moment.

The consensus had almost established itself through the political world of France, which this final punishment was unable to, in the end – in the end.

Le Pen’s followers were not the only ones who said that. Its enemies, from Jean Luke Milchon on the far left, agreed to Prime Minister Francois Bayro at the center and Minister of Justice Gerard Darmanin on the right.

But they were all wrong. The judge said that the law was the law.

In fact, the law has been tightened recently – by politicians who are now complaining about its application – to make the punishment for misuse of public funds already very severe. Well, the judge said in many words, and now let the politicians absorb their medicine.

Perhaps Marine Le Pen was naive not to predict this result. Sure, it looks as if the National Rally Party was not uniquely prepared.

So, as they met in the emergency session after the ruling, the party leaders were in a dilemma.

Do they continue as if there was a chance to work for Marine Le Pen in 2027?

In theory there is still a possibility (small). I made an appeal. The appeal can be accelerated and at the end of this year or early 2026. The ruling will be followed in the spring.

A different decision in the appeal session can reduce his eligibility, or completely remove him – in which case she can run. But the opportunities must be considered slim.

Or, should they move forward in the Plan B – that is, with the head of the party fertilization, Jordan Barilla, as the man who will run in Marin Le Pen?

This may be a more realistic assessment of what awaits us. But resorting to Bardela very quickly will be inappropriate. In any case, not everyone in the party is a fan.

By evening, the selection was made: in a television appearance, Marine Le Pen came out fighting, saying that she had no plans to retract the political scene.

Condemnation What he called the “political” decision By the judge and a “violation of the law of law”, she called for a quick trial to appeal, so that its name – or at least the inaccuracy has been raised – at the appropriate time to vote 2027.

“There are millions of French who believe in me. For 30 years I was fighting against injustice. This is what I will continue to do to the end.”

Fighting words – but in reality the future looks very unclear. There are many questions that have not been answered.

What, for example, will the impact of the court’s decision on RN vote?

In the short term, we can anticipate a protest and increase to the party’s support. Why? Because what happened is accurately fits with RN’s novel that the Shaabi right is the victim of the “regime”.

Nobody is likely to vote for RN seriously carrying her against Marine Le Pen to fund her party illegally using Parliament’s funds in the European Union. They all know that every French political party has resorted to similar methods in the past.

In the same manner, the “draconian” penalty-which is prevented from standing for the presidency-will be explained as a sign of honor: evidence that it alone stands before the forces.

In the long run, the support may not be very strong. The truth is that Marine Le Pen is one of the huge assets of RN. Her supporters, emotional, emotional, loving cats, speak difficult, and long treatment, which they feel they know personally.

Jordan Parilla is also a common character, but in just 29 years, it is difficult to see him filling her shoes. If Marine Le Pen is already able to run in 2027, RN loses a lot of his attractiveness.

What is certain is that many potential candidates on the right other than RN-Laurent Wuxy, Bruno Retario, for example, Siron, nominated Bardela, is a great opportunity for themselves.

The other unknown is revenge.

Marine Le Pen remains a member of the National Assembly, where a bloc of 125 – the largest parliament. So far it has been benign towards the besieged Prime Minister Francois Bayro, who is struggling despite the lack of a majority.

These days may end.

Why should anyone do any favorites now, they will say in RN HQ. Why don’t the house fall?