The search is hopeless for the Trump cracking plan

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At Sim Raib Airport, your eyes do not know whether to be based on the handsome dubbing roof or what should be the most polished floors in the world. How Cambodia did, not so long ago Least Countries, come to build elegant and modern in their second city? There is no doubt that the advertising panels in the hall are no doubt. Chinese investment and knowledge did this.

In other news, the United States proposes 49 percent of the customs tariff on Cambodia. The neighboring Vietnam gets only 46 percent. Singapore, although it gets away from 10, is now afraid of the store’s economic model. If Southeast Asia is the front lines of the United States of Chinese competition-a competition chosen by Donald Trump, after his predecessors threw soft tensions for Beijing-this customs tariff can push the hesitant countries to the Chinese orbit, and the US supporter to start hedging. In other words, the Maga goal (containing China) (“Tahrir’s Day”) contradicts.

Now, let me guess: there is a smart reason, why, In realityAll this is complete. There is always.

At what point the world prevails in the search for the major Trump strategy? British readers in Drake, the unhappy television owner who has always kept a “cunning plan”. Trump does not claim like this. Instead, he has a cunning plans by those who find it difficult to believe that the doctrine, the champarer and the nihilism are factors at the height of politics.

Thus we have a half of the half of the half that Trump, with the customs tariff, just wants to pressure the countries in a deal to manage the value of the dollar. If this is the goal, why not target the largest economies? (The Plaza Agreement in 1985 included the United States, the United Kingdom, West Germany, France and Japan.) Or Potswana? Everything that one thinks about the definitions in principle, the mathematical summary that these people have reached should be the idea that there is no wonderful chess game that is revealed here.

“Plaza theory” is not even the most strange attempt to rationalize Trump’s policy this year. Forced at the expense of his treatment of Ukraine, some note that “reverse Nixon” is in full swing, as American Russia comes out of its embrace with China. Why will this be a strategic blow to China, which has 10 times the population of Russia, does not seem to be wondering.

The parallel theory is that the formation of Ukraine liberates the American resources of the “real” Asian theater. But if that is Trump’s goal, America’s allies will boost the region. Instead, no president explained that US security guarantee cannot be trusted. If the Europeans felt exposed, imagine that they would be the Philippines or Japan at the present time, both of whom had a mutual defensive agreement with the United States since 1951. As for Taiwan, who has nothing like that, Joe Biden (perhaps recklessly) was explicit in his willingness to defend the island regardless. Trump is not. This is a respectable option. But how does it arise with the idea that he is winning an American and credibility in the Pacific? no. It is not supposed to.

In the end, there are many contradictions in Trump’s global view to justify any talk about a big plan. For example, his movement considers that the following facts are intuitive. China is a ruthless force that Western governments have been for a long time. But Victor Urban, China’s individual bridge to Europe? A great man. If the strategy means anything, it enjoys the bonding of things. There is nothing of this here.

However, the world will continue to try to find the shape and pattern in chaos. For many, I think it is an emotional confrontation mechanism. In the most terrifying times, it is a sedative that the secret plan works, even if it is a severe plan.

But there is more here more than fear. Ultimately, liberal societies are struggling to understand – or even credit for the existence of – irrational actors. When facing them, our reaction is to find a logic behind their behavior, even to the extent of forced lineage to them. Many people spent a lot of time pretending that al -Qaeda was driven by the plight of the Palestinians and other persecuted Muslims. It is equivalent to the equivalent of 2020 miles to deduct the new imperialist discourse of Russia like a lot of filling for what is necessary, for sure, a set of practical demands.

This blind spot of enthusiasm, this is the inability to take extremists with their word, is not something that the West can do a lot. Building a culture on the idea of ​​the global mind – as it should – and it becomes difficult over time to understand other operating programs for human behavior. Work is especially hopeless in it. The rationality of technology and financing has led them to the current pickle on Trump. It is not that they believed that it was in practice it was practically like them. They are vulnerable to the belief that everyone.

I wasted myself, completely good hours and neurons in searching for a great Trump design for the world. How many there? Well, he has a loyal belief that running a current account deficit constitutes a “loss”. He also has a willingness to negotiate, and even to settle on bad conditions for himself, for the sake of glory at the moment of the “deal”. But much more? A vision of the new financial and security architecture to compete Harry Truman, which will be achieved on any day now, just wait and see? The idea is funny, and I think, behind his hands, that Trump does a lot of laughter.

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