
Washington – and Federal Reserve In a close observer decision, the line was held on the line on standard interest rates, although it still indicates that the cuts are likely to be later in the year.
In the face of urgent concerns about the tariff of influence, the Federal Open Market Committee that determines the prices will retain, as the main borrowing rate is in limits between 4.25 % -4.5 %, as it was. Since December. The markets were pricing almost zero to move in a two -day policy meeting.
Along with the decision, officials updated their rate and economic expectations for this year and during 2027 and changed the pace that reduce bond holdings.
Despite the uninterrupted effect of the president Donald TrumpThe customs tariff, in addition to the ambitious fiscal policy of tax exemptions and the abolition of organizational restrictions, said that they still see a decrease in the percentage of the other percentage until 2025. The Federal Reserve prefers to move with increases at the quarter -points, and therefore this means two discounts this year.
Investors have taken an encouragement that there are other discounts that may be at the forefront, with the Dow Jones industrial average It rises more than 400 points After the decision. However, in a press conferenceChairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell He said that the central bank will be comfortable to keep interest rates high if the conditions justify this.
“If the economy remains strong, and the inflation does not continue to move in a sustainable manner about 2 %, we can maintain policy control for a longer period,” he said. “If the labor market is unexpectedly weakening, or if inflation decreases more quickly than expected, we can reduce policy accordingly.”
Uncertainty
In the post -compensation statement, FOMC noticed a high level of ambiguity surrounding the current climate.
“It has increased uncertainty about the economic view,” The aforementioned document. “The committee is concerned with risks on both sides of its double mandate.”
The Federal Reserve is accused of the double goals of maintaining full workers and low prices.
At the press conference, Powell pointed out that there was “moderation in spending on consumers” and is expected to show the definitions of rising prices. These trends may have contributed to the most cautious economic expectations of the committee.
The group reduced its collective view of economic growth and gave a higher stumbling block to drop inflation. Officials now believe that the economy is accelerating at only 1.7 % this year, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from the last projection in December. Upon inflation, the basic prices are expected to grow at an annual rate by 2.8 %, an increase of 0.3 percentage points over the previous estimate.
According to A Point PlumThe opinion is somewhat to some extent on the prices from December. At the previous meeting, not only one participant saw any interest rate changes in 2025, compared to four now.
The network showed unchanged average forecasts during the month of December for the coming years, with the equivalent of expected discounts in 2026 and one others in 2027 before the average money rate at the Federal Reserve stabilized at a longer level of about 3 %.
Limiting “tightening quantitative”
In addition to the price decision, the Federal Reserve announced the increase in the expansion of the “quantitative tightening” program, which slowly reduces the bonds that it keeps in its public budget.
The central bank will now allow only $ 5 billion of maturity revenues from the treasury to move every month, a decrease of $ 25 billion. However, the maximum value of $ 35 billion has left the mortgage -backed securities unchanged, which is rarely hit since the start of the operation.
The governor of the Federal Reserve, Christopher Waller, was the only opposition vote for the Federal Reserve Step. However, the statement indicated that Walir preferred to keep the retention rates, but wanted to see the QT program to continue before.
Jimmy Cox, the Harris Financial Group’s administrative partner, said, “The federal reserve is to reduce prices indirectly today by taking measures to reduce the surface flow pace of her cabinet,” said Jimmy Cox, the Harris Financial Group’s administrative partner. “The Federal Reserve has multiple things that must be taken into account in the risk balance, and this step was one of the easiest options. This paves the way for the Federal Reserve to eliminate surface flow by summer, and with any luck, inflation data will be in place where the reduction of the federal funds is the clear option.”
The actions of the Federal Reserve followed a feverish start to Trump’s second state in office. The Republican shook the financial markets with the definitions that have been implemented so far on steel and aluminum and a variety of other goods against American global trade partners.
In addition, the administration threatens another round of the most aggressive duties after a review that is scheduled to be released on April 2.
The air is sure about what will come Consumer confidence, Those in recent investigative studies have raised inflation expectations due to definitions. Retailing spending in February increasedAnd if it is less than expected, although the basic indicators showed this Consumers still wander in the storm Political climate.
The shares have been fragile since Trump took office, with average average inside and outside Correction area While administration officials have warned against economic resets away from the stimulation fueled by the government and a more approach to the private sector.
Bank of America CEO Brian Moinhan Earlier on Wednesday, he faced a lot of dark conversation about Wall Street. The second largest American bank said by the assets Card data shows that spending continues at a strong paceWith Bofa economists expect the economy to grow about 2 % this year.
However, some cracks appear in the labor market. Non -agricultural salary statements I slept at a slower pace than expected In February and a wide scale for unemployment that includes frustrated workers and employment, they jumped a percentage during the month to its highest levels since October 2021.
“The Federal Reserve’s movements today echo the type of uncertainty that Wall Street feels.” “Their expectations are some stagnation because gross domestic product estimates decreased with high inflation, but none of them are very crucial.”
– Sarah Min of CNBC contributed to this report.
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