The asteroid YR4 will not hit the ground, but scientists cannot exclude the beating of the moon – my country

The possibility of “killing the city” asteroid 2024 yr4 The hitting of the Earth is no longer a threat, but it can hit the moon, According to scientists.

JWST Telescope has discovered this discovery after completing the first two planning notes of the 2024 YR4.

The researchers wrote in their initial report: “While the Earth’s influence has now been excluded by 2024 YR4 on December 22, 2032, he still has a non -zero possibility to influence the moon at this time,” the researchers wrote in their initial report.

There is a second round of JWST notes specified in May 2025, before the asteroid disappeared in the external solar system for the next few years.

If the asteroid hit the moon in 2032, it can It is likely to throw the debris In the surrounding space, according to Professor Carrie Mennin of Helsinki University.

He said: “In the case of the effect of the asteroid on the moon, the Earth’s moon system can be covered with separate molecules of the moon and the asteroid, which may threaten the infrastructure of human space and operations.”

The asteroid near the Earth She released newspaper headlines for the first time in late JanuaryWhen NASA and the European Space Agency (ESA) announced that it was present and said it had it 1 per cent opportunity From communicating with our planet.

This increase for a period of 2024 YR4 called the most dangerous asteroid in the history of the NASA Center for Studies close to Earth (CNEOS) Rose risk schedule.

“This size affects the ground on average every few thousand years Causing The European Space Agency said in surrounding space safety.

in Another update in mid -FebruaryThe space agency has increased the chances of the asteroid 2024 YR4 that collides with the Earth, with the possibility of an impact to 3.1 percent or the possibility of influence-the highest possibility of collision so far.

It was the highest risk assessment of an asteroid ever, yet 2.7 per cent opportunity to hit Apophis In 2004, NASA said there is a chance of 2.6 percent of the asteroid that hit the Earth in 2032 with an opportunity to influence one of 38-the same possibilities that appear on the roulette wheel.

On February 7, NASA experts collided with possibilities To one chance in 43.

Scientists had previously said that he did not keep them at night, and that no one should panic, despite his inability to exclude the possibility of an effect.

By February 18, Space Agency announced That a piece of irrational space is now About 3 percent chance From collision with the ground.

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But on February 20, Cneos said This was the danger He fell To about 1.5 percent.

Regarding the latest decrease in the risk of influence, NASA wrote, “New notes from the asteroid 2024 YR4 helped us Update her opportunity to influence In 2032. The current probability is 1.5 %. “

The agency said: “Our understanding of the asteroid’s path is improving with every note. We will keep you aware,” the agency said.

The asteroid is between 40 and 90 meters, based on estimates of reflected light.

If the Earth is hit, 2024 years would cause “severe damage to the explosion” of up to 50 km from the impact site, according to the international asteroid warning network.

– With files from Global News’ Michelle Butterfield

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