Beirut, Lebanon – Analysts say that Israel’s ongoing attacks intend to preserve its unstable, weak and retrospective neighbors, and contribute to the admiration of the ruling projects in Lebanon and Syria.
The talks with experts, analysts and diplomats reveal the belief that Israel wants to keep the two countries weak and two fractures, while preserving Israel as the strongest regional power.
“The Israelis believe that the presence of neighbors, as in the countries that are not really able to work, are useful for them because, in this context, they are the strongest actor,” said Elijah Ayoub, writer, researcher, and founder of the fire at these times, on the island.
Lebanon and Syria, the goals of the invasion of Israel, have not been largely chosen against the Israelis, with which they excel militarily, financially and technologically.
“Israel has no borders”
Lebanon and Syria are both in a fragile state.
Lebanon was in a state of terrible economic strait for at least six years, with bouts of political paralysis, and it has just emerged from a long Israeli attack that killed more than 4000 people and destroyed the country’s areas.
That war, which caused severe armed damage, Thezblah, a major local actor in Lebanon since the 1980s, has ended outwardly with a ceasefire on November 27.
Syria, Meanwhile, recently appeared from a war that lasted about 14 years, which led to the displacement of millions and the killing of hundreds of thousands.
The transitional government is working to unify the armed factions, achieve stability in the economy and gain international recognition.

Along with Lebanon, which is led by the first treasury for years, Syria has a new leadership that wants to turn a page to modern history, but the Al -Jazeera analysts told that Israel seems bent on preventing this.
Israel violates the ceasefire with Lebanon since its signing, to justify every breach by claiming that it struck “Hezbollah’s goals.”
The situation is particularly terrible along the southern border Lebanon, where some villages were obliterated during the war and others Perfectly Since the ceasefire.
“There are a lot of violations,” he told a member of the Civil Defense Force in Lebanon, who asked not to be named, Al -Jazeera from the southern town of Mays Al -Jabal, which was beaten, adding: “There is nothing we can do about it.”
Israel also refused to completely withdraw from Lebanon, as the ceasefire, instead, leaving its forces at five points that experts say are likely to be detained for future negotiations on defining the Lebanese -Israeli borders.
“The very clear way forward is that Israel has no borders in its operations inside Lebanon,” Mohanad Haji Ali, a older colleague at the Carnegie Middle East Center in Beirut, told Al -Jazeera.
“The only discrimination that was made is in firepower and destruction, which is devoted to non -proportional responses to attacks on northern cities in Israel.”
Israel is betting on Syria’s failure
In the chaos of Syria after the overthrow of the Assad regime on December 8, Israel launched attacks on military infrastructure throughout the country, with a focus on the south and its forces crawling into Syrian territory.
The transitional government of Syria said it is not an interest in the regional war. Instead, he said that he has no intention to attack Israel and will respect the 1974 agreement on disengagement between the two countries.
However, the Syrian government’s initiatives fell on deaf ears, and the attacks continued.
The Israeli government immediately revealed its position towards the new Syrian government after the overthrow of President Bashar al -Assad, describing it as “a terrorist group from Idlib, which took Damascus by force.” Since then, Israel has bombed Syria again and again, and seized lands along the border between the occupied Golan Heights and the rest of Syria.

“Israel has betrayed that Syria will fail and will be fragmented,” Aaron Lund, Century International, told Al Jazerera.
“What they do is to try to put themselves in this scenario, as pressure to influence the south and keep them uncomfortable and protect their unlimited freedom in the airspace.”
In March, Israeli air strikes on Syria increased and expanded to new regions, with 30 percent increase of ground incursions, including in the southern regions of Dera and Kenitra.
“The influence on civilians was increasingly deadly,” said Mawaz Al -Abdullah, Director of Middle East Research in Akad.

“To defend themselves, residents of the village of Koya, in Dera, fired warning footage to deter Israeli forces from progress to the village on March 25. The response of the Israeli forces was an air strike and the shelling of the village, and at least six civilians were killed.”
Amad Al -Bezri, from Dera, told Al -Jazeera about a similar incident in Nawa, 34 km (21 miles) north of Dera.
He said that the Israeli army “tried to advance to all the large squares in Nawa until some young people began running and the Israeli army began shooting them,” adding that the local residents faced the army and forced to retreat.
He said: “They brought helicopters and drones, and for four hours, they bombed the area.” “Military aircraft and helicopters bombed the city of Nawa with helicopters and drones.”

“They know war, but not peace.”
Analysts can see a little that would prevent Israel’s attacks close to daily on Lebanon and Syria.
“They listen to the Americans, but only to some extent,” a Western diplomatic source talking about not revealing his identity, he told Al -Jazeera.
Hezbollah arsenal may be a deterrent, but the latest war changed the calculation and integration account.
“All deterrence has been lost,” said Haj Ali.
Without any diplomatic or military pressure on its way, it appears that Israel is specific to disrupting any progress in Lebanon and Syria and keeping it soaked in chaos.
“This is how Israel is the best scenario in the region,” said Ayb. “He talks about deep irony in the heart of Israeli policy, and comes from the decades -continuing military that has become a natural part of the daily Israeli political culture.”
Many analysts talked about Israel who need “war forever” in the region, which will be “very comfortable”, according to Natasha Hall, an older colleague in the Middle East program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, speaking at the American University of Beirut on April 8.
Or, as the diplomatic source told Al -Jazeera: “This (Israeli) government has shown that it knows how to war. But it has not yet appeared that it knows how to make peace.”
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