How does the Trump campaign greatly lead migration to the bottom

The illegal crossings are on the borders of the United States and Mexico to their lowest decades. Immediate migrant shelters are empty. Instead of heading north, the people who were cut off in Mexico began to return home in larger numbers.

The borders can only be recognized for only two years, when hundreds of thousands of people from all over the world crossed to the United States every month in scenes of chaos and revolution.

President Joseph R. Biden Junior, who faces a swelling of public anger during the 2024 election campaign, was installed on asylum seekers and pushed Mexico to keep migrants in a critical position. By the end of his term, the border calmed down and the illegal crossings fell to the lowest levels of his presidency.

Now, President Trump has suffocated a great influx of migrants, as he united a comprehensive turn in the United States policy with measures that many critics, especially those on the left, have long been considered uniquely straightforward, and cannot be defended legally and ultimately effective because they do not address the radical causes of migration.

“The entire immigration model is turning,” said UNICE RNDon, the coordinator of the migrant agents, an alliance of Mexican calling groups. She added: “Quoted from Mr. Trump’s group of policies and his threats targeting immigrants,” families are terrified. “

Mr. Trump uses many strict tactics simultaneously: to stop Resorting indefinitely for people looking for a shelter in the United States across the southern border; Spreading the forces to search for, and perhaps the same extent from the border, scare the border retirees; Wide advertising deportations in which immigrants are Send home in restrictions; And strong governments in Latin America- Like Mexico – To do more to reduce migration.

The new approach has resulted in some eye statistics.

In February, the American border patrol said it was Arrest 8347 people try to cross the border illegally from a Score Of more than 225,000 concerns in December 2023.

These figures had already decreased sharply since the Biden administration revealed its restrictions on migration last year. In December, Mr. Biden’s full final month was in office, and the border patrol was arrested 4,7330 immigrants on the borders of the United States of Mexican.

At 1527 immigrants per day, this was the lowest daily for any month during the entire Biden presidency. But he was still five times the number in February, the first full month after Mr. Trump took office.

If this trend continues for a whole year, immigrant fears in the United States may decrease to invisible levels since about 1967, according to Adam Isaxon, an immigration expert in the Washington office in Latin America, a non -governmental organization.

There are signs that the numbers are also decreased to the south in the region. The number of people trying to reach the United States through Darién GAP- The banned wild bridge that connects South America and Central America is a measure of future pressure on the borders of the United States and Mexico-to 408 in February, a decrease from 37,000 in the same month last year, according to the Institute of Immigration in Panama.

The shift is the reason for the celebration between the characters who were calling for more striking restrictions for years.

Kenneth T. said. Coxsnelli, the former Deputy Minister of Internal Security in the Trump Administration, “The White House leadership promoted sexual deficit when it comes to immigration.”

“Securing the border is easy if you have the will to do so,” said Mr. Kochinelli, a prominent falcon over immigration issues. “In the first Trump administration, Trump had no will to do this,” he said. “But he is doing now.”

In some ways, Mr. Trump’s hardening position on immigration is the extension of Mr. Biden’s movements at the end of his term. Mr. Biden promoted less adaptive policies that enlarged the number of migrants entering the United States during the first three years in his post.

But as the violent reaction grows, Mr. Biden was prevented Resort to immigrants if they cross illegally Mexican governments and Benmamiya have pressed more effort to reduce migratory flows, and to deliver his successor a Relatively quiet The situation is on the border.

Political feelings in the United States also turned. Leaders who defended their cities grow as ancient migrants Quieter In their resistance to Mr. Trump’s policies. Some democratic conservatives have highlighted areas Possible cooperation To enforce immigration.

Upon assuming his post in January, Mr. Trump cleared his measures to combat immigration. It included the use of the American military base in Guantenamo Bay, Cuba, to hold immigrants; Launching online posts to heat and to threaten Potential immigrants; He pledged to cancel Visas For foreign officials who believe in facilitating illegal immigration to the United States.

It is still, many warnings. A similar calmness in immigration at the beginning of Mr. Trump’s first term, although it is less disturbing than the current decline, has proven temporary. Immigration experts warn that the sanctions and other measures targeting Venezuela and Cuba, which are large sources of migration, can increase economic conditions in those countries and produce new immigration.

The Trump administration’s embrace of definitions weighs the largest economies in the region, which is likely to increase economic despair among poor families that are struggling to obtain, a major factor that affects migration. The uncertainty about the definitions could have already pushed Mexico to a recessionEconomic fear.

But developments on Earth in Mexico show how the migration dynamics turn.

On the morning of the last days, hundreds of migrants stood in a burning sun line outside the Mesico City offices at the country’s refugee agency, Komar.

Many have been in a queue since the dawn, and others had clouded outside the building, sleeping on the sidewalks or in the middle of a dirt road, hoping to increase their chances of obtaining a date and starting the asylum.

“The residence here was not our plan,” said Peter Martinez, the immigrant from Cuba, who said that residence here was not our plan.

When asked if he intended to return to Cuba, given the struggles, he said: “Mexico can be dangerous and difficult, but it is still better than returning to our country.”

Many immigrants, such as Mr. Martinez, were triggered in Mexico and have second ideas about crossing to the United States. Some are planning to put risks in Mexico, while others do everything they can return home.

The number of immigrants in Mexico are asking for help to return to their countries rose To 2,862 in January and February, according to the International Organization for Migration, Reuters reported.

A survey of more than 600 immigrants in January by the International Salvation Committee found that 44 percent of the respondents who initially intended to reach the United States are now planning to stay in Mexico.

“When people see one of the doors closing in front of them, another window is opened,” said Rafael Velaskiz Garcia, former head of the International Salvation Committee office in Mexico.

He said that this decision does not come without restrictions, including that immigrants face great obstacles to reaching work.

In other countries in the region, immigrants from Venezuela and other countries automatically receive humanitarian visas that allow them to search for jobs. But in Mexico, the only option for immigrants is to seek asylum, which may take months to complete it.

All this is revealed before other steel line measures that Mr. Trump defended, such as his pledge to intensify mass deportation in a large way, and start. It also plans call Used American law, Foreign enemies Law in 1798To accelerate the deportation of immigrants who are not documented while providing few not documented legal procedures.

Immigration experts say that the closest parallel of the current fuel dates back to the fifties, when it produced anger at the flow of Mexican workers, “WetBack”, a short -term military -style attack that drew his name from the joy used to describe the Mexican border, which aims to deport more than a million Mexican immigrants.

“You need to return to the Eisenhower administration to see anything like that,” said Issaxon, an immigration expert.