Florida private elections leave the Republicans concern

Standing in front of a few dozen supporters in the Autoa Awllast in Ocala, Florida, on Monday evening, Democratic Congress candidate Josh Will predicted.

Mathematics teacher in public schools said that within less than 24 hours, history would have been made by turning the strong Republican Congress seat – which helps to control the House of Representatives from Republicans.

“Their agenda stops in 2025 here,” promised, and it is born against President Donald Trump and Elon Musk to reduce government services and employees.

Just an hour ago, in a meeting in the phone hall, Randy Fine, his Republican opponent in the private elections on Tuesday, had a similar message – although he put it as a warning, not a promise.

“Democrats are crazy.” “They will do everything it takes to grind the Donald Trump’s agenda to stop.”

Voters in the eastern half of the center of Florida, from Ocala to the cities north of the Dietona Beach, go to opinion polls to fill the seat that Michael Waltz, which Trump chose to be the National Security Adviser. Waltz recently ignited a media madness after an unintentionally prominent journalist to a high -level group conversation about American strikes in Yemen.

The Waltz function may now be in danger is just one reason on Tuesday for one of the 435 home seats now a national story.

The other is that Will, although running in the Trump region, carried by more than 30 points last November, may win. And if it does, the Democrats will take a big step from the majority in the divided house by a little difference.

Winning or losing, the race can also be a measure of voter motives as Trump begins his second term-and offers hints in the political scene before Congress elections in the middle of the period next year.

It is one of Florida’s special elections on Tuesday. And the other, in the Panhandle area of ​​Florida, will determine a substitute for Gaetz, and the a thermal Congress member was originally chosen by the public prosecutor before withdrawing under a cloud of sexual misconduct and ethics allegations. The Republican victory is widely expected.

But this is not the case here. Weil raised about $ 10 million of donations in the campaign, as it dwarfs $ 1 million that Fine, a Senate member of Florida.

According to a modern public opinion survey, Will tracked well. According to what was reported, an internal survey was shown by a respected republican company, Will in 3.

This is sufficient to cause more than a little anxiety in the ranks of the Republic.

Randy Ross, a Florida -based conservative activist who carried out a campaign there for Trump in 2016 and 2024, said.

Mr. Ross added that Republican voters need to understand that the fine will support Trump’s agenda in Congress – and will not.

To this end, some party’s strikers intervene to help. Last Thursday, Trump joined the Republican candidate in two events in the municipal hall over the phone. On Monday night, a member of the Congress in Florida Peron Donalds and the suspended commentator Bin Shapiru held their own event.

“Donald Trump’s agenda is hanging with a thread,” Shapiro said. “This is an area that cannot be located in the hands of democracy.”

Tech Multi-Billionaire Musk, a Trump close ally, may hold a personally campaign for the highly disputed Supreme Court race, but his political committee directed more than $ 75,000 to support the fine in recent days. Other governorate groups followed their example, which helps at the level of comfort in the financial stadium.

It is especially concerned by the party that the special elections take place in times of low political engagement and usually involve only one race. They often tend to the party with the most enthusiastic, according to Mr. Ross. For the Republicans, the display of democratic power on Tuesday will be worrying.

“You can only go to admit the name in special elections,” he said. “You have to expel people to vote for you.”

Republic nervousness is the result of simple mathematics in the House of Representatives. With a majority of 218 to 213 in the seat room 435, the party cannot bear the loss of any profit elections – not to mention those that should be in the four championships.

While the WEIL victory alone will not be sufficient to control the room, two vacant seats are currently in democratic areas safely. If the results of these special elections continue as expected, Democrats will be about to control.

This may explain the reason for the president’s announcement on Friday that he was Withdrawal of his choice of Congress muscle in New York Elise Stefanick To be an American ambassador to the United Nations, although all of them officially evacuated her office. Weil’s victory on Tuesday means that the Republicans cannot bear the loss of the New York elections to replace Stefanick.

Even before voting on Tuesday, both Democrats and Republicans wandered around framing the results in the best light of their party.

Conservatives reduced the national monuments of the race and put the blame on Fine, who was accused of managing a fading campaign and winning as a Muslim.

“It is a reflection of the candidate who runs the race,” said Ron Desantis, the Republican ruler in Florida.

Meanwhile, Democrats declare victory – at least, the moral diversity.

“These are races, under normal circumstances, they should be on the political radar of anyone,” said Hakim Jeffrez’s minority minority leader of the Democratic House of Representatives. “The American people do not buy what the Republicans sell.”

This feeling was repeated by many supporters of Will on Monday evening in Ocala, even if he told the same candidate BBC that he would win eight points.

“If we lose but we approach, the moderate Republicans may notice,” said Body Ozwald, the lawyer and the teacher. He added that if they were concerned that their party might lose a safe seat, they may feel the heat and be more ready to separate with the president.

Eight years ago, in the wake of Trump’s amazing victory in 2016, Democrats sought condolences in the special election races on the map. They came out of some amazing, including Doug Jones’s victory in the Senate in the deep conservative Alabama. In other races, such as John Osov’s offer in the suburbs of Atlanta, Democrat appeared.

Those races had achieved a high level of democratic enthusiasm that led to a wave in the middle of the feature the following year, when the party won 39 seats in restoring the House of Representatives and put a decisive end in Trump’s first legislative agenda.

Republicans, with convincing victories on Tuesday, want to crush any opportunity to repeat the history that repeats itself.

Democrats, who sometimes participated in a sharp debate about strategy and political priorities, would like Florida to return them in the column of victory – or at least give them hope in better days to come.