Chinese eleventh courts, Vietnam, as a commercial war with the United States

Photo of author

By [email protected]


President Xi Jinping from China started a week -long tour in Southeast Asia on Monday, where he fell in Hanoi and tried to mobilize other countries alongside Beijing, where the American tariff threatens manufacturing and economic growth networks.

In an article published on Monday in the Vietnamese government media immediately before his arrival, Mr. Shi called on other countries to join China in defending stability and free trade and a “open and cooperative international environment”.

Mr. Shi wrote: “There are no winners in commercial wars and tariff wars,” he said, reiterating the comments he recently made in Beijing. “Protection has no way out.”

Mr. Shi’s tour in Vietnam, Malaysia and Cambodia aims to inflate this message. While President Trump’s tariff sends shock waves through the global economy, Mr. Xi is retreating against the United States, and the world tells that the leader is now dependent on creating wealth and the nations that feel betrayal due to the wild fluctuations of the “First America” ​​table of Mr. Trump.

The next few days will be fill in the dramatic and mastery warmth – dozens of women in the traditional Vietnamese dresses that meet the Chinese flags that received Mr. Xi as he ascended to the airport runway in Hanoi just before noon. But behind the scenes, there is a lot of uncertainty.

Vietnam and her neighbors All that tries to seize President Trump for a tariff, which may make it resisting to make bold statements supporting us. The American-Chinese trade war-which involves A big dream tariff and Suspension Among the rare land exports of China – each country has also made more likely to have global stagnation, and is more confused about where the global order may go.

Some analysts said, Mr. Shi may be more worried than it appears.

“Shi will undoubtedly clarify confidence,” said Bonnie Glaser, Managing Director of the Hindu and Pacific Program at the German Marshall Fund. “But the unpredictable path of China’s relations with the United States and the possibility of separating American and Chinese economies is very worrying.”

The industrial countries in Asia have a lot to lose. Many poverty came out alongside China through decades of expansion of free trade, and the so -called mutual definitions announced by Mr. Trump this month criticized Asia more than anyone expected only.

Vietnam found herself with a 46 percent tariff under the accounts that put the trade deficit at the equation center. For Cambodia, it was 49 percent while Malaysia was 24 percent.

Even with Mr. Trump’s 90 -day sudden suspension of fees, the threat of new taxes that suppress the demand and create new challenges for the exporting countries has darkened the mood of the entire region, and made many countries doubt the place where they are heading to help.

Vietnam is particularly intertwined with both China, her largest commercial partner, and the United States, which was Import more and more Vietnam Since the first tariff for Mr. Trump has led companies to transfer production from China to other countries.

Vietnam’s exports to the United States – $ 137 billion in 2024 – and its huge investments from foreign companies that seek to diversify away from China are in danger.

“Today, Vietnam is more likely to be both China and the United States more than ever,” said Alexander Veveng, a professor at the Asia Pacific Center for Security Studies in Honolulu.

In response, Hanoi leaders are already trying to do what they have done for years – balance, baptism and hedge.

Teams of Vietnamese negotiators went to Washington to defend low definitions, and promised to purchase more American products and low commercial barriers. This week, Vietnamese officials also pledged to contact the transfer of Chinese products via Vietnam, which White House officials described as a great obstacle to low tariffs.

Now, Vietnam leaders-with a two-day visit, who was planned before the definitions, is trying to celebrate 75 years of official relations-to keep China happy as well.

Dozens of deals are expected to be signed during the visit of Mr. Xi in an attempt by both sides to show that cooperation will continue, regardless of American pressure.

However, the quantity (with 40 agreements expecting) may obscure its gradual nature. The largest ticket elements known so far include a handful of aircraft made in China Tourist roads will be fired In Vietnam for the first time this week with a budget airline, I also promised to buy Boeing Jets.

Vietnam also indicated that she agreed to move forward with a proposed rail from the Chinese border to a port outside Hanoi – a major infrastructure project, if built, it deepens political and economic ties between Hanoi and Beijing.

Many other agreements are expected to be wide, vague, not specific. Communist links, the best Hanoi leaders have a long history of resistance to Chinese projects that would enhance Beijing’s influence over Vietnam. Even the railway, which China was pushing for years of loan, has almost advanced beyond the early stages of the debate.

The comments published on Monday sought Lam, the Supreme Commander of Vietnam, Secretary -General of the Communist Party, often sought to raise Vietnam to a higher position, as a special country for China: the largest commercial partner in Southeast Asia and the fourth largest commercial partner in the world.

Mr. Fuking said that Mr. Lam is trying to “formulate personal relationships with Mr. Shi”, but without providing a lot in the areas of clear tension, such as the South China Sea, where China and Vietnam compete. Mr. Lam did not mention the case.

Mr. Shi followed a different approach, calling for more maritime cooperation to “properly control differences at sea.” He described the relations between Vietnam and China in broader terms: it joined solidarity as members in the wider global south.

Analysts said that the approach reflects the broad goal of China, to use this trip as a way to build bonds with countries not only in Asia but in other places, and to enhance the image of Mr. Xi as a global state man.

The fact is that China cannot do much for Vietnam, Cambodia and Malaysia economies. Its economy is struggling with the legacy of a bust. American definitions and Mr. Trump zero approach in the world also mean that the two main exporters are in competition with each other-with suppliers of everything from phones to hunting clothes throughout the planet to order.

China said it would seek to stimulate more local consumption, but mostly to help its own manufacturers. Analysts doubt that there will be enough Chinese buyers to make up for the losses from the United States market while the trade war is paralyzing investment and buying consumers.

“The dream approach to the United States and the People’s Republic of China means that there may be less space for mediators such as Southeast Asian economies,” said Ja Ian Chung, a professor of political science at Singapore National University in Singapore.

He added that countries like Vietnam are stuck, “between a rock and a difficult place.”

Non -governmental Tong It contributed to the reports from the city of Hoshi Minh.



https://static01.nyt.com/images/2025/04/14/multimedia/14int-vietnam-xi-01-fbmv/14int-vietnam-xi-01-fbmv-facebookJumbo.jpg

Source link

Leave a Comment