Analysts say French policy “even chaos” after Luban was prevented

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Marine Le Pen, Speaker of the National right -wing parliament group (RN) was seen in the observers during a televised interview broadcast on the evening news of the French TV channel TF1, in Paris, on March 31, 2025.

Julian de Pink AFP | Gety pictures

Paris has rushed to more political turmoil after Firebrand Marine Le Pen has shattered by imposing a ban on public positions-where analysts warn that the decision may increase the stability of the euro zone in the euro area.

The country suffered from another political bomb on Monday after Leban, leader of the National Rally Party, Condemn It is the embezzlement of the European Union’s funds and prevented from running for public positions for a period of five years, with an immediate impact. The ruling is effectively ruled by Le Pen from the 2027presidential elections.

Le Pen strongly rejects any violations, and on Monday night she pledged the cohesion of condemnation, which was called “political decision”, “bias” and “.

“I am fighting, I will not allow myself to eliminate this way. I will use all possible appeal methods. There is a narrow path. It is really very narrow, but I am. I will really ask as much as possible to appeal until it can be considered to run for the presidential elections,” said Bens Bell TF1, according to the CNBC rise.

The Criminal Court in Paris, the head of the case, denied Pinditi de Breyotic, to issue a political ruling on Monday, saying that no one “is immunizing in violation of the rule of law.”

Le Pen’s condemnation of the political establishment of France was placed on a state of high alert amid fears of possible reverse reactions from its supporters and its concern that the ruling can be seen as a political lawsuit.

Even some Le Pen’s political opponents, such as the left leader, Jean -Luke Milongon and Prime Minister Francois Bayro, expressed its effects on a court with the authority of Luban’s ban immediately, especially before the appeals managed its course.

Luban says the ruling

On Tuesday, the spokesman for the national rally, Fabrice Leg, told “Squawk Box Euro” on Tuesday that the ruling was a “threat to French democracy” and that there was a shortage of “neutrality” in the French justice system.

Meanwhile, the National President of the Gurdan Bardela – most likely called the “Plan B” for the party’s presidential candidate if Le Pen’s appeal – supporters of the signing of a bastard pledge of Bir And “peaceful mobilization” to defend the politician.

French policy “transform even messenger”

Analysts agree that the ruling can have a worrying impact on French policy at a time when the country has already witnessed the most famous of the quarrels on its government leadership and plans for spending and taxes.

The court’s decision can make the National Assembly more volatile and it is likely that the fragile government is already broken by the head of the center, Bayro, who recently succeeded – in narrowly – to pass the 2025 budget to address France’s deficit, Which reached 5.8 % of economic production last year.

“In the short term, this ruling will make this ruling more difficult to judge France,” said Salomon Fidler Economic at Burnberg Bank.

“With the division of Parliament into almost three equal factions, the right and the left together can drop the central minority government at any time. I felt unresolved, the National Assembly is now less likely to cooperate with the government and more vulnerable to supporting a suggestion of lack of confidence against Prime Minister Francois Bayro.”

As for the Le Pen’s political future, analysts emphasized that it is too early to delete its presidential ambitions, adding that the national gathering is likely to be depicted as a political martyr and a victim of the institution.

Fidler Brinberg indicated that the party “may be able to play the ruling in favor of it by demanding political persecution and riding the opposing feelings of the Foundation.”

Mujtaba Al -Rahman, the administrative director of Europe, agreed to Monday that “this was not a” political “trial, but Le Pen will now seek to reach one. It may succeed.”

French leader Marine Le Pen, a member of Parliament from the National (National -National), leaves the party’s headquarters on the day of the ruling of her trial alongside 24 defendants (party officials, employees, former lawmakers, and parliamentary assistants), and preparing them in abuse, and the charge of misuse of March, or reviving, and fragmentation of March, 2025.

Abdul Sabour Reuters

Noting that Luba’s political fate “was not determined” under the rule of Monday, Rahman said that the politician will definitely attend an emergency appeal before one of the three French bodies that fulfill an equivalent role for the role of the Supreme Court in the United States.

There, you will ask the Constitutional Council to answer the “priority question” about the validity of its direct ban for a period of five years, before the appeal against the conviction.

“It is expected that it will argue with the Constitutional Council that it is very important to prohibit it. It will be an insult to French democracy, her lawyers will say, if voters are prevented from receiving the polling for the first candidate in the presidential elections in 2027,” Rahman pointed out.

Al -Rahman said that there is a “strong opportunity” that can be suspended the ban on Le Pen in the event of an emergency resumption before the Constitutional Council in France concluded that the rights of voters should prevail over the rhetoric of the law. However, the process will take some time

“These appeals are likely to last for at least two years and allow it to run for the presidency in April 2027.”



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