Economists

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The federal government has warned of a survey conducted by the Financial Times.

Economists have also reported concerns about the quality of the country’s economic statistics – vital information for investors in the world’s largest economy – following the Trump administration’s decision to dissolve the influential counselor.

The FT-CICAGAGAGAGAGAGAGAGATH poll comes two weeks after the sale in American stocks, caused by Donald Trump’s tariff for trading partners in the United States and his administration efforts to sharply put down the federal government. It also comes before the federal reserve decision on Wednesday, as officials will present their economic expectations.

“The customs tariff, tax discounts, government employment, spending, attacks on education financing, and independence (FED) are all playing,” said Robert Barbira, Economist at Johns Hopkins University. “There has been nothing like this in playing 50 years ago.

Almost all the respondents in the poll, which was conducted in partnership with the Clark Center at the Bath College of Business at the University of Chicago, said that uncertainty about economic policy will grow, as consumers and companies return to spending.

The average estimate among the 49 economists included in the poll was to expand the economy by 1.6 percent in 2025, a sharp decrease of 2.3 percent in the December poll. Last year, the US economy expanded by 2.8 percent, which is the highest rate of G7 of the leading rich economies.

There are already signs that Trump’s tariff, including those in steel and aluminum, are crowned through the American economy. Companies have reported a decrease in new requests, while consumer feeling declined. The prices of both minerals, the main inputs of the industry increased. Canada and China have already averaged their definitions against the United States, while the European Union threatened to do so.

Economists also expect Trump’s policies to feed on high inflation, prompting the Fed Bank away from its 2 percent target. They expect the personal expenses index for personal consumption-a scale monitored by the Federal Reserve-an annual rate of 2.8 percent by the end of the year from December 2.5 per cent. This measure increased by an annual rate of 2.6 percent in January.

“Economists have struggled historically to find evidence that uncertainty is important to grow in the United States,” said Karen Dinan, a professor at Harvard University who served during the Obama administration.

“But uncertainty is so high that it is likely to reduce investment,” she added.

Some of Trump’s leading domestic policies, including the large discounts of the federal workforce led by the so -called government efficiency (DOGE) called Illon Musk (DOGE), in court. Trump has also repeatedly retreated from customs duties, for example, he presented a great sculpture to the drawings on Mexico and Canada just days after being imposed.

“It is not clear what political procedures will adhere to, with a constant reflection, challenges in the courts, and re -evaluation,” said Sarah Zubairi of the University of Texas A and M.

More than 90 percent of the respondents also said they had concerns about the quality of economic data, as more than half of them said they are very concerned and the rest is somewhat concerned.

The decision of the Ministry of Commerce follows the decision to dissolve the Federal Economic Statistical Consulting Committee, body This helped improve the quality of economic data, last month.

Trade Minister Howard Lootnick earlier this month said that he intends to “separate” government spending from the measures of GDP, a change in the international standard of including public spending in this number.

“The change that is politically defending the way the variables are measured will be disturbing,” said James Hamilton of the University of California San Diego, who said he was a moderate concern of the changes in data collection and delivery so far.