How Trump can destroy his political movement

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Donald Trump is the greatest asset of the Maga movement and the biggest responsibility.

The US President is a political genius. But, too, in an unforgettable phraseThe attributed to Rex Tillerson, First Foreign Minister, “ridiculous fool” when it comes to understanding politics.

This tension between Trump, the genius and Trump, is a dangerous fool on the “Make America Great again” movement that he created and performed.

As a political actor, there is no denial that Trump has an intuitive genius that enabled him to completely reshape American policy. Winning a second term in his position with a decisive margin gave him absolute authority inside his party. Currently, Trump can do what he wants. The problem is that what he wants is likely to be very harmful to America.

The most obvious example of Trump’s destructive nature is his obsession with tariffs. The American president cannot or does not understand that the definitions are paid by importers and that a lot of cost will be transferred to consumers. It is also considered a lack of prediction as a virtue. Therefore, customs duties are imposed, raised, and then apparently re -imposed on a whim. The result is that companies cannot plan for the future Consumers Investors feel panic.

In Trump’s first period, when his political authority was weaker and his advisors more traditional, the president’s assistants were able to transform some of his worst ideas. Sometimes the officials ignore or re -explain its instructions, or even Pace From his office, in an attempt to contain his instincts.

But in the second chapter, the president besieged himself with Sycophants who want to “allow Trump to be Trump.” Howard Lootnick, Minister of Commerce, assures us that Trump is “the most important, smarter, the most capable leader in the world.” Therefore, the president can move forward with policies that are likely to harm the majority of Americans in direct and concrete ways.

Trump has made many obscene things in the past, such as trying to cancel the outcome of the 2020 presidential election. But few of his previous actions affected the daily lively life of the Americans. Causing the recession or high inflation or the collapse of the stock market will be different. About 60 percent of Americans Private stocksOften in retirement boxes. Many will be dismayed due to the last recession in stock prices. Consumer confidence also decreases, with high inflation expectations.

The economy has been classified as the most important issue by voters in the last elections. But Trump’s classifications for dealing with the economy have already become negative. There may be more pain to come as a plug in the federal workforce that exceeds Washington. The possible discounts in social security or the government -funded health benefits will reach millions.

It may seem that the choice of battles with American neighbors and allies falls in the category of issues that ordinary voters can ignore. But the threat of Canada’s appendix (another known idea) started a trade -off war with a peaceful neighbor. If Canadians take revenge on forcing the price of oil or electricity exports to the United States, the ordinary Americans will suffer. The definitions of Mexico can raise the prices of the supermarket. About 50 percent of imported fruits in America come from Mexico. The profits of the great American car companies can be to survey 25 percent tariffs for imports from Canada and Mexico.

Trump’s economic effects are likely to determine the future of his presidency. But Trump also endangers Americans in other ways. The dismissal of the FBI agents and intelligence staff-and the conspiracy theorists’ appointment as director of national intelligence and head of the FBI-is a recipe for a high-ranking disaster in the end. Another view of the plot, Robert P. Kennedy JuniorThe official in charge of the Ministry of Health creates another set of clear dangers.

Trump’s watching by unleashing his internal insult to the US government is the forecast that I heard from a prominent American businessman in January. “If Trump does half of the things he promised to do, this will explode as a whole. Maga will distort for a generation.”

The clear mechanism for the bombing will be a major defeat for the Republicans in the upcoming elections. But the middle of a period of nearly two years. Trump and his followers can lead to many damages to America’s institutions, including the electoral system, at the time. If the administration starts skiing clearly, Trump is likely to respond to chasing a scapegoat and increasing tyranny.

But the experiment in other damaged democracies is that even a partially forged system can work well enough to inflict electoral defeats on right -wing populists. Jeir Bolsonaro lost the Brazilian presidential elections in 2022 (and was charged with an attempt to coup after that). Poland and Justice Party lost power in the elections in 2023. Victor Urban from Hungary, who has been prime minister since 2010, and greatly admired the Maga movement, leaving opinion polls before the expected elections next year – where the Hungarian economy was. There were Urban’s anti -Budapest demonstrations on the weekend.

The right -wing people can often win the wars of culture. But the mistreatment of the economy is difficult to explain. If Maga makes Americans poorer, it is possible that Trump and his movement will pay the price.

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