On a weekend when Bayern Munich, Barcelona, Real Madrid and Juventus all dropped points, the Premier League title chasers also faltered.
Arsenal tied 0-0 with Everton, while Liverpool succeeded in achieving a draw Exciting quadruple with Fulham I feel like I gained one point instead of dropping two. Manchester City were three minutes away from regaining their place in the title race, before Amad Diallo inspired Manchester United to victory. Derby win 2-1.
Chelsea, a team desperate to avoid any talk of a title race, were the only team at the bottom of the table to take three points this weekend, despite doing their best to shake off defeat. Winning over Brentford Sunday night.
Here’s how this disastrous round of matches affected us He chooses‘s Statistically supported predictions.
Formation of the chasing pack at the rear Liverpool It turned around significantly this weekend. Chelseawho started the round as fourth favourites, jumped ahead of Manchester City in the predictive rankings.
The Blues have a 5.5% chance of winning the title. “I don’t even know what the title race is, to be honest,” Nicholas Jackson joked after scoring the decisive goal in Sunday’s 2-1 win that moved his team within two points of first place. “I’m not even looking at the table,” the striker insisted. That could change soon if Chelsea continue to close the gap with Liverpool.
Chelsea are still likely to finish third (35.5%) and have a 5.3% chance of missing out on the top four altogether. Arsenal He remains Liverpool’s closest rival, finishing above the Reds by 10.6% out of 10,000 simulations which Opta Advanced statistical model calculation.
The Gunners have become increasingly dependent on… Going forward in set-piece situations, a worrying trend that was painfully evident during the A.J Lukewarm stagnation At home to Everton on Saturday. Arteta’s side have scored just 15 goals from open play in 16 Premier League matches, fewer than relegation-threatened Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Liverpool They have no problem finding the back of the net, even when down to ten men. Arne Slott’s irrepressible side fell behind twice at home to Fulham on Saturday afternoon, but emerged with a point and new momentum in the title race.
The Reds may only have a two-point advantage over Chelsea – and a game in hand away to Everton yet Derby postponed – But the supercomputer gives Liverpool a whopping 82.0% chance of winning only their second title in the Premier League era.
Manchester Citywho are chasing their fifth Tour crown, have just a 1.9% chance of finishing at the top of the heap again. Over their last seven Premier League games since Halloween, Pep Guardiola’s side have collected a pathetic four points – the same tally as bottom-of-the-table Southampton. Fired manager Russell Martin Sunday.
There is a small risk of Guardiola losing his job wherever City finish, but top place looks increasingly unlikely.
Rank |
club |
Possibility of winning the Premier League title |
---|---|---|
1. |
Liverpool |
82.0% |
2. |
Arsenal |
10.6% |
3. |
Chelsea |
5.5% |
4. |
Man City |
1.9% |
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