United Airways forecast reflects the turmoil

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A United Airlines Boeing 737 Max 9 AirPlane is approaching San Diego International Airport on April 8, 2025 in San Diego, California, USA

Kevin Carter Getty Images News | Gety pictures

Aircraft are one of the few transportation methods that take you from the place of origin to your destination often in a straight line. But United Airlines, one of the largest transportation companies in the United States, does not have the luxury of the direct road when it comes to predicting its money. On Tuesday, the airline gave two years of profits: one is its original resulting from January; The other, newly revised expectations if there is a recession.

On the one hand, it is known that it is impossible to predict the economy – consider the number of analysts who were sure The recession will hit the United States in 2023. On the other hand, it is uncommon for companies to do so, which reflects the increasing volatility in the economy due to the administration of US President Donald Trump.

However, on the market, the fluctuations seem to decline at the present time, according to the CBOE fluctuations index, or Vix, which is seen as the “fear measure” in Wall Street. The shares fell on Tuesday, but they were marginal drops compared to the huge collapses last week. The journey now, then, is relatively smoother, but as the extraordinary step of United Airlines indicates, the disturbances can be at the forefront.

What you need to know today

Fluctuations
American stocks fell on Tuesday. the S & P 500 Decreased 0.17 %, and Dow Jon’s industrial average Loss 0.38 % and Nasdak The bottom was 0.05 %. the Vix It fell to about 30 after it reached about 60 of last week. Regional Europe Stoxx 600 index 1.63 % rose. LVMH The shares sank 7.8 % after the company reported on Monday about a 3 % decrease on an annual basis in Sales in the first quarterAnalysts’ expectations for slight growth.

Nvidia takes $ 5.5 billion
Nafidia The shares fell about 6 % in the extending trading after the company said on Tuesday that it would take A quarterly fee of about 5.5 billion dollars Associated with the export of H20 graphics processing units to China and other destinations. On April 9, the US government told NVIDIA that it requires a license to export chips to China and a handful of other countries, the company said in file. H20 is the China Amnesty International chip that is designed to comply with the American export restrictions.

Control of the rare land in China
Amid Trump’s tariff for China, Beijing earlier this month Imposing export restrictions On seven major rare ground elements used in defense, energy and cars technologies. According to a report issued by the Center for Strategic and International Studies, if trade controls in China lead to a cessation of these exports, the United States will not be able to fill the gap – this is possible The threat of military capabilities in Washington.

Estimates of profits in stagnation
United Airways The profits were reported on Tuesday, and they were taken An extraordinary step in providing profit expectations. The company left sound forecasts issued in January, but also provided profit estimates in a stagnation. She said in a file of securities: “The company’s expectations depend on the total environment that the company believes that it is impossible to predict this year with any degree of confidence.”

Inforcement in India slows down more
The annual inflation rate in India It decreased to 3.34 % of the expected 3.34 % in March, the Ministry of the Ministry in the country and the implementation of programs on Tuesday. This represents the fifth consecutive monthly decrease, and decreased to less than 3.6 % of the Reuters economists.

(Pro) The American retail report can be deceptive
On Wednesday, retail sales report should appear strong because consumers are still spending money. Economists also expect a healthy growth. Details, though, will tell a different story. That is why investors It should not be taken in the address numberJeff Cox wrote from CNBC.

Finally …

The Albert Galatin statue stands outside the US Treasury in Washington, DC

Andrew Harry Bloomberg Gety pictures

Trump’s tariff led the treasury-selling process-who sold safe assets?

The US Treasury Market witnessed during the past week investors from a safe haven, in an extraordinary step added to the market turmoil caused by the “mutual” definitions of US President Donald Trump.

In only a few sessions, the return on 10 years of treasury It rose to 4.592 % on Friday, the highest since February. Likewise, the 30 years of treasury The return has achieved its highest level since November 2023 last Wednesday. While the returns have decreased since then, they remain high.

Among the potential perpetrators behind the sale of bonds are China, life insurance companies in Japan, hedge funds and “bond guard”.



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