Why can Trump’s nuclear talks with Iran be more successful than Biden

Dubai, United Arab Emirates – Representatives in both countries, despite the permanent points and lack of clarity in the conditions specified by each side.

It is worth noting that there is more optimism towards the deal and general communication between the opponents for a long time. The delegates from the United States and Iran agreed to hold more talks next week in Rome, while the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs described negotiations on Saturday that it occurred in “atmosphere based on and based on mutual respect.”

This highlights the huge difference between the Biden Administration attempts to revive the 2015 nuclear deal and the position that the Trump administration finds itself a day: one with advantages that have been largely changed to Washington and Iran is weaker and more vulnerable.

“The Iranians, as I think, are slightly more desperate than they were in 2022, and they face a very weak economy,” said Gregory Brio, the chief analyst in Iran and energy at Eurasia in Eurasia.

“Iran’s regional position has been greatly weakened. They are concerned about the amount of pressure they can deal with – their internal situation, and the internal discontent situation is likely to increase – so they have their interest in getting

Pro pointed out that Biden was also bound by public opinion, which risked criticism of the “soft” appearance on Iran. He said that Trump does not face the same restrictions, as he said-he sees the president already as the falcon of Iran and re-implements the “maximum pressure” sanctions on the country shortly after moving from his post.

Iran’s economy has deteriorated significantly In the years after Trump in 2018, the United States was withdrawn from the multi -country deal, entitled “The Joint Comprehensive Action Plan”, or JCPOA. The agreement was made in 2015 alongside Russia, China, the European Union and the United Kingdom under the Obama administration to reduce Iranian nuclear activity and monitor nuclear activity in Iran in exchange for relief for sanctions.

I have already faced several years of protests, the weakening of the currency significantly, and a cost -cost living crisis for the Iranians. The Islamic Republic was subjected to a hammer blow. Loss of its main ally in the Middle East Last year, when the Assad regime collapsed in Syria. Meanwhile, Tehran’s hostility killed most of the Hizbullah High Command, Iran’s representative in Lebanon.

The Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khounai was previously opposed to negotiations with the United States, but senior Iranian government officials According to what was reported, he made coordinated efforts to change his opinion, The decision is framing as decisive to the regime’s survival.

Trump clearly made that he would not accept nuclear armed Iran. The last years have raised the risks: while Trump withdrew from JCPOA, Iran was enriching and storing uranium at its highest level. Which leads to the International Atomic Energy Agency, the United Nations Nuclear Control Authority, to issue many warnings.

“Iran remains the only non -nuclear weapons that enrich uranium to this level, which raises great concerns about the development of potential weapons,” United Nations press release From March 3, read.

Tehran insists that its program is for civil energy purposes only, but Iranian nuclear enrichment has reached 60 % purity, according to the International session Agency – significantly higher than the enrichment limit that was presented In the 2015 nuclear deal, a short technical step of 90 % purity purity.

Trump has repeatedly warned of an American military response if Iran does not change a path to Washington’s satisfaction.

“I would like to make a deal with Iran on a non -nuclear. I prefer to bomb hell from him.”

Ryan Bouleh, chief analyst in the Middle East and North Africa in the Renh Network, says this pressure had an impact on Tehran’s willingness to come to the table.

“I think that the Iranians are eager to develop a practical framework that allows long negotiations that would prevent President Trump’s military action that can definitely come within a few months,” Paul said.

He added: “Moreover, the Iranian economy can use any proposal to rest to improve conditions on the ground, which in turn will improve public support for the Islamic Republic.”

However, the specific parameters of the potential deal have not yet been discussed, and other talks will be revealed about the extent of the differences between the position of each country.

Its leaders said that Iran does not want to abandon its nuclear program – that among the remaining points is the fact that Iran is unwilling to abandon its nuclear program – this is a red line Laurent. But exactly what kind of program that may actually be something that you want to manage Trump to show flexibility, as long as Iran cannot actually develop a bomb.

Subsequent talks will need to reveal Trump’s conditions, which have been kept until now.

“I think the key to these negotiations was always about what his claims were in the United States towards Iran.”

“Will the United States look forward to completely dismantling the Iranian nuclear program, or is it just a matter of ensuring verification to ensure that there is no weapon for this program?”

“I think Donald Trump was very clear during the last two, three weeks in particular: no weapon. Weapons are that red line,” said Itayim. “The Iranians can work however – they have always claimed and said that we are not yet nuclear weapons. So this was a good starting point.”

Deep lack of confidence between the two sides remains, and Iran Hoks – in particular, feels the US ally of Israel – that negligence that negotiations occur and oppose any possible flexibility by the Trump administration.

On Wednesday, a few days before the US talks in Iran in Amman, Trump said that Israel would be a “leader” of any possible military strike against Iran, if its government does not abandon the nuclear weapons program.