Retail investors enjoyed another great year by sticking with tried-and-true big tech names that delivered big profits and promised progress in artificial intelligence.
Vanda Research It is estimated that the year will end with approximately $265 billion in net new inflows into US markets from self-directed retail investors. While this is $25 billion below the average of the previous three years, based on Vanda Research data, it is still within the post-Covid-19 range — indicating a healthy appetite for the average investor to engage with the markets.
The six corporate indices that received the most retail investor inflows were among the most notable tech momentum trades: AMD (AMD), nVidia (NVDA), apple (Apple), palantir (Belter), Tesla (TSLA), Amazon (Amzn). These five names attracted $67.7 billion in total retail flows this year. Nvidia has overtaken Tesla as the most popular stock among retail investors, at least judging by inflows.
Nvidia took in $29.8 billion in net retail flows this year, according to Vanda Research findings, up from $11.4 billion last year. Tesla’s retail flows fell to $14.7 billion from $48 billion in 2023.
However, Tesla still overtakes Nvidia as the largest holding in retail investors’ portfolios, accounting for an average portfolio weight of 10.58% compared to 10.33% for Nvidia.
The other four big indices were index-based trades that leveraged popular topics like artificial intelligence: Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (Soxl), Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ), and the S&P 500 SPDR (spy).
“2024 has been an eventful year for markets,” said Marco Iachini, Vice President of Vanda Research. “For the average retail investor, this has been another great year of portfolio performance. Loyalty to technology names has paid off.”
In fact, loyalty to technology has paid off.
Vanda Research estimates that the average retail portfolio is up 40.74% this year, the second-highest performance since 2014. Only 2023’s performance of 41.94% has been better over this 10-year time period.
On a flow-adjusted basis, Vanda Research noted that this would be the second time retail investors have beaten the S&P 500 (^ GSBC) in consecutive calendar years and the first time since 2014 that the non-institutional crowd beat the Nasdaq Composite (^ IX).
Whether feel-good times for retail investors will continue in 2025 is anyone’s guess.
On the positive side, the incoming Trump administration has promised business-friendly policies e.g Reducing government spending through Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) and extending tax cuts.
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